Week 4 NFL betting guide, props, spreads: Model, expert, parlay, DFS and season-long fantasy picks revealed

If a star is out, look for backup players who are getting more minutes, touches, or shots. These kinds of bets are particularly well-liked by casual viewers, data-focused gamblers, and fantasy gamers. They have a distinct advantage since they pay attention to the finer points of each play, pass, and shot rather than just the ultimate scores.

The four main categories are player props, team props, game props, and novelty/exotic props. Game-centric props cover everything else that happens in a game, often including unusual bets that aren’t tied to player or team performance. These props are especially popular in big events like the Super Bowl, where sportsbooks offer hundreds of unique options. Instead of focusing on the final score, it shifts attention to predicting the moments that shape the game—such as a quarterback’s passing yards, or whether a game will go into overtime. This style of betting allows you to break the game down into smaller, more specific outcomes, providing greater control and more betting opportunities than traditional wagers. Our expert prop betting guide has offered effective strategies for beginners.

• Analyst Mike Tierney, who is on an 8-2 roll (+581) over his last 10 NFL picks, has revealed his best bets for Week 4.
• SportsLine's model has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL betting picks since its inception, so those picks can confidently be used to fill out NFL parlay picks on betting apps.
• If a prop bet is canceled, most sportsbooks will void the wager and return your stake.
• If the bet hits, you’d see a total return of $190.91 ($90.91 profit plus your $100 bet).
• It is never a good idea to bet at offshore sites, as they may have a license from a legit gaming body.

The reason why this will often apply to props is that they can be highly correlated with each other or with a game outcome. This is bad for sportsbooks as it can give the bettor a considerable edge. The reason prob bets have blown up in recent years is that they make every snap, pitch, or possession feel like its own mini-game. And with sportsbooks now offering easy tools to build prop bets, it’s no wonder fans keep asking about them. When people talk about what is a prop bet in sports, they’re really just talking about the fun side of betting. Instead of sweating who wins or loses, you’re putting money on the little moments, like if the coin toss in the Super Bowl comes up heads, or whether a running back breaks 100 yards.

Bengals vs. Broncos Monday Night Football odds, predictions: Best bets, player prop wagers

Still, these types of bets are mostly just a way to gain some additional enjoyment on a marquee event such as the Super Bowl. In football, you might be sweating an NFL prop bet on whether a quarterback clears 250 yards or how many field goals a kicker nails. Public betting can influence the odds, but oddsmakers use models to set over/under lines. Because of this, early lines frequently provide more value before they are influenced by public or sharp money.

✅ Look for value early in the week

You might bet on whether an NBA guard hits over 3.5 threes, if an NFL wideout scores a touchdown, or even if the coin toss in the Super Bowl lands on heads. Many platforms void player props if the player doesn't play a single second, even if they’re active on the roster. Bets on a certain statistic or event that occurs during a game but isn't connected to the outcome or winner are known as prop bets. Bettors may approach prop sports betting more confidently and analytically by employing these tactics. And when building parlays or same-game parlays, this information becomes even more valuable, helping you stack informed picks for maximum upside. Player props are great for fantasy-minded bettors who already track individual stats and player matchups week in, week out.

NFL is the most common sport for prop betting as there are simply a lot more options. This is true throughout the regular season and even more so during the playoffs and in the Super Bowl. Common player props include total passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards or touchdowns scored in a game.

These markets thrive on tempo and volume, which is great for bettors who track form and matchups closely. These examples demonstrate how your other selections can still provide significant value even if your team's prop fails. Both professional and casual gamblers may find depth in NFL prop markets, whether they are betting on Mahomes' arm or counting field goals. “Exotic” is just a fun label, but these props are anything but ordinary. These wagers encompass events that aren't directly related to the game action, and they're most successful at major events like the Super Bowl, where football and entertainment come together.

You may feel somewhat like you’re playing fantasy sports when making these types of wagers. Game, team, and player prop betting is available across all major sports and sportsbooks, giving bettors a wide variety of betting types they can choose from. Novelty and exotic prop bets are similar to game props, although they involve more trivial outcomes.

Any professional bettor will tell you that most of the money to be made is on props. You won’t find as many baseball props as you will for the NFL and NBA, yet, astute betters tell you that MLB prop betting can be a very profitable option. Common MLB props would include whether a hitter will hit a home run https://22betofficial.com/ or steal a base, or an over/under on a starting pitcher’s strikeout total.

Generally, though, most prop bet options center on the biggest betting markets, including the MLB, NBA, NFL, and NHL. The sections below cover how prop betting works in these major markets, along with other sports too. While moneyline and spread betting are fun betting types, prop betting adds several other layers to wagering on sports. DraftKings gives you the most prop markets for each sport, providing a huge variety of options across leagues, teams, and player stats. While BetMGM offers the widest range of sports overall, DraftKings excels in depth, letting you explore extremely deep markets for every sport available.

An "octopus" is a football-specific player prop bet that involves a player scoring a touchdown, followed by the same player scoring the subsequent two-point conversion. Most sportsbooks offer odds in the range of +1400 for the occurrence of an octopus in the Super Bowl or on a primetime football game. Baseball bettors have similarly embraced the new wave of prop betting as it offers variety from the standard options of run line, total and money line bets. Popular wagers in MLB betting include the over/under on innings for a starting pitcher, strikeouts for a pitcher and whether a specific position player will get a hit or a home run. Another option for Jokic might be whether he will record a triple-double in the upcoming game.

Further, it enhances game engagement, offers variety and flexibility to bettors and has widespread availability amongst all major sportsbooks. A standard line will have -110 odds for the over/under outcome of the prop bet, meaning a bettor would have to wager $110 to win $100 for total winnings of $210. Part of successfully placing sports betting props is understanding how to read prop odds lines. He is playing about 75% of the Rams' snaps, ranks seventh in the NFL in both rushing yards and rushing attempts and is averaging an efficient 4.5 yards per carry in the process.